Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.381960 250.328989 281.396689 318.670848 362.408213 412.384669 474.215775
2024-10-20 179.447636 215.752622 259.684714 317.453031 392.457519 488.023344 621.441810
2024-10-27 150.157731 187.794123 235.745933 302.527688 395.107288 522.014238 714.830457
2024-11-03 139.263798 180.338306 235.135352 315.561318 434.111380 608.473952 896.699804
2024-11-10 131.813059 175.918024 237.177527 331.404076 478.309610 709.142131 1123.259359
2024-11-17 121.304618 165.754128 229.483868 331.263704 497.390366 773.272118 1304.423989
2024-11-24 110.354565 153.677708 217.410762 322.386314 500.413857 810.315734 1444.954442
2024-12-01 101.285739 143.443210 206.902695 314.384663 503.171392 846.562036 1592.499307
2024-12-08 97.182414 140.261266 206.814489 323.193644 536.108151 944.041944 1895.930851
2024-12-15 92.015871 134.928294 202.693058 324.464357 555.243768 1018.148705 2170.691960
2024-12-22 86.044788 127.817189 194.978153 318.420521 559.394477 1062.014964 2386.360162
2024-12-29 81.885735 123.290533 191.124158 318.811181 576.078057 1135.927575 2706.827054
2025-01-05 76.414446 116.350360 182.813328 310.459128 574.665776 1171.098808 2940.473407
2025-01-12 72.628497 111.973766 178.612627 309.525471 588.936421 1247.013767 3332.262435
2025-01-19 67.141713 104.339392 168.050700 295.047880 571.557409 1241.235856 3459.420806
2025-01-26 66.098394 104.247328 170.971191 307.675003 616.843793 1407.199534 4266.064071
2025-02-02 65.439723 104.756874 174.999148 323.015744 671.253940 1614.056731 5371.293226
2025-02-09 62.818531 101.588603 171.869474 322.879858 688.140587 1718.415638 6128.672109
2025-02-16 59.376028 96.728162 165.155772 314.284446 682.412860 1752.981352 6592.883161
2025-02-23 56.293785 92.354253 159.088393 306.535245 677.805661 1790.513231 7105.160646
2025-03-02 55.261819 91.693408 160.226877 315.066215 717.868739 1987.249487 8650.075491
2025-03-09 53.501782 89.563205 158.278426 316.296661 738.240976 2123.476155 9995.830036
2025-03-16 51.133152 86.152840 153.513522 310.443978 737.679194 2184.113366 10924.823354